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Economists having real world Twitter bet on UK inflation! @AndrewLilico says CPI>5% if GDP>2%. @jdportes has £1000 that says "nah".
15 hours ago

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Calculate your own inflation rate. Mine comes out at 4.5% (although their stated rationale for this is nonsense). http://t.co/WzwYTpjTNr
20 hours ago

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U.S. Treasury spread pricing in a 5% chance of recession. Is QE making things look more benign than they really are? http://t.co/6YgwKgYGXn
5 days ago

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New post: What is the probability of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months? http://t.co/7mwD2FORtq
5 days ago

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New post: The King speech http://t.co/0zGysfmqxa
7 days ago

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Bond Vigilantes

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If the government simply cancelled the £300 bn+ of QE gilts held by the BoE, who would be unhappy?

Jim Leaviss

The UK sits unhappily at the very boundary of what debt burden is acceptable for a AAA rated economy. If growth continues to disappoint, or if more austerity becomes socially impossible, the UK will be downgraded – and neither of these possibilities look very remote. At the moment the UK public sector net debt to […]

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This blog provides commentary and views on bond markets. Prepared by M&G's bond team. Information shown on the blog should not be taken as advice or a recommendation to make an investment decision.

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