I recently returned from Chicago after a research trip. We put together a short video to share a few of our findings with the wider world. The mood of most economists, investors and indeed the man on the street was noticeably more upbeat than in Europe. With positive GDP growth, a housing market showing the first signs of stabilisation, if not growth, and – in our opinion – a banking system that is in better shape than its European equivalent, the US continues to provide a more benign context for High Yield investors. Indeed, whenever we encountered concerns and pessimism it was firmly focused on this part of the world. Consequently, we continue to find some interesting themes and opportunities in the US, both from a top down perspective and also for individual issuers and bonds.
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If the government simply cancelled the £300 bn+ of QE gilts held by the BoE, who would be unhappy?
The UK sits unhappily at the very boundary of what debt burden is acceptable for a AAA rated economy. If growth continues to disappoint, or if more austerity becomes socially impossible, the UK will be downgraded – and neither of these possibilities look very remote. At the moment the UK public sector net debt to […]


