Monthly Archives:

September 2019

Ukrainian bonds have delivered one of the highest returns in EM this year

Can Ukraine continue outperforming?

Ukrainian fixed income assets have performed better than
expected this year, and delivered one of the highest returns in the emerging
market universe. Since the beginning of 2019, Ukraine’s five-year USD bond
spread has tightened by about 370bp, while the JP Morgan EMBI saw spread
compression of just 70bp year to date. Political novice Volodymyr Zelenskiy and
his Servant of the People (SP) par…

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After FTSE Russell index delay, what’s next for Chinese government bonds?

Yesterday evening, FTSE Russell announced that
China Government Bonds (CGBs) would not be added to the widely followed FTSE
World Government Bond Index, but remain on the watch list for inclusion until
further review. This came as a surprise for most investors: Bloomberg Barclays
and JP Morgan both recently added CGBs and bank policy bonds to their index
suites. In challenging times for the Ch…

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The ECB resumes corporate bond purchases — here is what you have to know

All eyes are on central banks these days as major
monetary policy decisions have been driving global bond markets. The eagerly
awaited September meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank
(ECB) has given bond investors much food for thought. In particular, the new
round of its asset purchase programme (APP)—announced in true ECB fashion revealing
only the bare minimum of det…

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Will the Bank of England join the loose money bandwagon?

As the year of the 325th anniversary of the Bank of England’s foundation, and as the month of one of the Bank’s more important rate-setting decisions since 2008, September provides a congruous occasion on which to reflect on the history of the BoE and consider what the future holds for it. Founded in 1694 as a private bank to the government, it was in 1998 that the BoE was granted independence…

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3 shockers from yesterday’s RPI plans

Index-linked markets were sent into a tailspin yesterday as Chancellor Sajid Javid responded to an earlier letter from the UK Statistics Authority (UKSA), which had set out recommendations for the reform of the RPI. The longest-dated linkers (maturing in 2065 and 2068) fell by more than 9% as breakeven rates plummeted.

Javid’s response contained three big shocks for index-linked markets:

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