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Panoramic weekly

Panoramic Weekly: October pest

In true market fashion, both stocks and bonds suffered in October, hit by concerns about the effects of rising rates and trade wars on economic growth and corporate profitability. The past month brought evidence of a slowdown, particularly in Europe and Asia: third quarter GDP growth in the Eurozone came in below expectations, dragged down by Italy’s flatness, while in Asia, Industrial Output i…

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Panoramic Weekly: Loan Vigilantes emerge as uncertainties rise

Corporate, Emerging, Currency and Commodity markets – almost everyone but traditional safe-havens – had an early Halloween week on mounting concerns over challenged US corporate profits and dismal European PMI and Chinese growth data. As much as 75% of the 100 Fixed Income asset classes tracked by Panoramic Weekly fell, also dragged down by rising tensions over Brexit and as the European Commis…

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Panoramic Weekly: Markets, not Fed, go crazy

Global financial markets seemed to regain sanity over the past five trading days as they reverted to the typical negative correlation usually seen between stocks and bonds: investors snapped up traditionally safer government debt as concerns on the effect of rising rates over corporate profits mounted, dragging down leading equity indices. This followed a period in early October in which both e…

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Panoramic Weekly: Bonds take a bath

The bond sell-off that started last week with the publication of strong US data continued over the past five trading days, even if Friday’s job report came in below expectations and a slew of global data and events only confirmed a worsening momentum: the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut this year’s world economic growth forecast to 3.7%, down from 3.9%, citing challenges to trade; Italian…

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Panoramic Weekly – World to US, China: Let them eat trade

While the US and China continued their ongoing mutual trade threats and stand-offs, other nations’ assets rallied on hopes that the trade wars will open opportunity for third parties. Indeed, and as seen below, Asian, African and European exports to China are on the rise, while those from the US are increasing at a slower pace. The potential negative effects of the trade wars, as well as protra…

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Panoramic Weekly: Ignoring Trump

Most global fixed income asset classes gained over the past five trading days, despite an escalation of the ongoing US-China trade war and the inclusion of new tariffs between the world’s two largest economies. Reduced trade, however, may bring more harm than good to the US economy, as levies usually generate inflation and, therefore, higher rates. Indeed, the benchmark US 10-year Treasury yiel…

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Panoramic Weekly: 2008-2018: Don’t look back in anger

Few people would have guessed right after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, ten years ago this week, that a golden decade for bond investors laid ahead – but it has happened: as many as 92 of the 100 fixed income asset classes tracked by Panoramic Weekly have delivered positive returns, with 17 of them offering triple-digit returns. The 2008 crisis’ most-battered asset classes, such as High Yiel…

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Panoramic Weekly – EMs: How many one-offs to call it a crisis?

Global bond markets sank over the past five trading days, as what started being idiosyncratic problems in specific Emerging Markets (EMs) spread throughout the bond universe: only 14 of the 100 Fixed Income asset classes tracked by Panoramic Weekly posted positive total returns. The rest tumbled, mostly dragged down by the risk-off scenario (such as High Yield debt) or by exposure to rising rat…

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Panoramic Weekly: Keep calm and ‘gradually’ hike

After a turbulent start to the month, the second half of August has turned out to be a much calmer period for financial markets. While geopolitical tensions have not gone away, investor sentiment is currently being well-supported by the favourable economic outlook in the US, coupled with the prospect of a continued period of low interest rates. Global equity and credit markets produced further …

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Panoramic Weekly – Trump’s dollar: making European bonds great again

Most global Fixed Income asset classes rose over the past five trading days, led by recently-battered Southern European government bonds, which rallied on the back of gloomy news: the Eurozone’s trade surplus fell in June to its lowest level in 18 months as export growth didn’t keep up with rising imports. European sales abroad suffered from a rising euro, or a low US dollar – a position favour…

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