'Old lady' invests in corporate bonds

Investors have been buying corporate bonds as a savings vehicle for a number of years in the UK, however yesterday they were joined by the oldest lady of them all –  the Bank of England. The BoE yesterday commenced its investment programme by buying £85.5 million of sterling corporate bonds.

The reasons why she is doing this are (1) to improve liquidity in the UK corporate bond market; (2) to r…

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Quantitative Easing and index-linked gilts – a little less information

Central bankers passionately love inflation-linked bonds.  Firstly, they keep governments honest by discouraging them from generating inflation in order to reduce their debts, and secondly they provide real “put your money where your mouth is” information as to where the financial markets think inflation is heading.  Unfortunately, the Bank of England’s new QE regime makes the information deriv…

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Bank Capital Securities: the new club 18-30

The somewhat bizarre title owes to the fact that euro and sterling bank tier one securities (the most subordinated and equity-like ones) are now priced roughly between 18 cents in the euro, or 18p and 30p in the pound! We have discussed these bonds at length in previous blogs (see the most recent comment from Jim here) and have outlined the reasons for their being a very high risk way of taking…

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The gilt market – QE as it happens, followed by an update this afternoon when the results of the £2 billion bond purchase are released

Today we get to see how the Bank of England’s Quantitative Easing process works.  I will post again, in the comments section of this article, when we know the results of the Bank’s gilt buy back this afternoon (sometime after 2.45 pm).  This is a £75 billion programme, with the first £2 billion of puchases being sought in gilts maturing from 2014 to 2018.  These are as follows:

UKT 5% 2014

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Finally – The Penny (or 'Cent') Drops

The European Central Bank cut its main re-financing rate last week by 50 basis points to 1.50%.  It is continuing to ease monetary policy into uncharted waters. Jean Claude Trichet conceded that the ECB staff’s projections for a recovery in 2009 were way too optimistic and now envisage only a “gradual recovery” – in fact, the ECB now expects flat growth in 2010 and a negative GDP print of somew…

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QE – quite extraordinary.

WOW. QE begins in earnest in the UK tomorrow, and is being done because conventional monetary policy has reached its limit (see previous blog article). QE involves swapping cash, issued by the Bank of England, for financial assets. The process of exchanging newly printed bank notes for assets that are then retained by the BoE forces excess sterling into the economy, and in theory, this increase…

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Government bonds – when a safe haven may not be not a safe haven

We first talked about cracks appearing in Euroland in June, and expanded this to include emerging market government bonds in October.  Over the past few months, the trend of rising sovereign default risk has accelerated, and particularly in Europe where we’ve seen downgrades to the sovereign debt of Greece, Portugal and Spain.  It’s probably a matter of time until the UK follows.   In today&#82…

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I.O.U.S.A. – a quick competition

The team has just watched I.O.U.S.A., the film about the future American disaster brought about by unbalanced government budgets (Dick Cheney: “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter”) and, in particular, unfunded Medicare and Social Security liabilities. 

We’re giving away our copy of the DVD.  To win it, send your answer to the following question to bondvigilantes@mandg.co.uk.  The first correct…

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Are the bond vigilantes vigilant enough?

On the day that the Bank of England started its Quantitative Easing (QE) regime with the purchase of £340 million of commercial paper under the Asset Purchase Facility, it’s worth remembering why our blog is called Bond Vigilantes, and ask ourselves whether we need to be baring our teeth a little more.

The term Bond Vigilantes dates from the bond market’s aggressive response to President Clinto…

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