Author profile

Pierre Chartres

Years in the bond markets: 9

Specialist subjects: Macro economics and European credit

Likes: football, skiing, golf, Skysports (everything except the F1 stuff), French Basque Country

Heroes: Chesley Sullenberger, Felix Baumgartner

BVTV: The only certainty is more uncertainty

While last week ended with British prime minister Theresa May promising to provide ‘certainty’ after yet another shock election result, for markets, the opposite looks likely to be true. And with the renewed uncertainty of a hung parliament likely to prove unhelpful in upcoming Brexit negotiations, what implications can markets draw for UK growth prospects and the likely direction of gilts? Tun…

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BVTV: Relief rally gets new legs on Macron victory

EU officials are breathing their latest sigh of relief this morning, after French voters opted for centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron over far-right rival Marine Le Pen in yesterday’s second round presidential elections. Markets will now turn their attention to whether the incoming president can assemble a parliamentary majority without the benefit of an established party behind him.

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M&G Bond Vigilantes 2016 Macro Outlook by Jim Leaviss

The weather has turned cold, the nights are drawing in and the Christmas lights have been turned on. Not only does the holiday season herald the return of a fat man in a red suit, it is also time for the annual M&G Bond Vigilantes Macro Outlook. Inflation is low, bond yields are negative and global growth is slowing. But things are about to change. The central bank of the world’s largest econom…

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M&G Panoramic Outlook: Quasi-Sovereigns in Emerging Markets, by Charles De Quinsonas

It has been quite an eventful year for emerging markets. The fall in oil and commodity prices, the prospect of higher interest rates in the US, the corruption scandal in Brazil and of course the growth slowdown in China have all contributed to increased uncertainty for the asset class. Naturally this uncertainty has impacted performance, weighing down on returns of both hard and local currency …

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Greek debt forgiveness: Where there’s a will, there’s a way

The Euro Summit meeting in Brussels that took place a couple of weeks ago seems to have finally provided some temporary closure to the Greek debt crisis. The dreaded Grexit scenario was avoided (at least for the moment) and the Greek government was able to repay its arrears to the IMF and the ECB using the €7.2 billion bridge loan provided by the European Council. Looking ahead, this short term…

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French government should push for further tax and labour market reforms

France has a unique social model. It originates from the end of the Second World War, when the National Council of the Resistance (NCR) hastily put together a plan to rebuild the country after five years of Nazi occupation. Despite not having any official political affiliations, the NCR was in fact influenced by left wing individuals and the “National Front”, a communist party. The NCR’s “actio…

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Winners of our @inflationsurvey competition. The M&G YouGov Inflation Expectations Survey for 4Q 2013 will be released next week.

Beginning of November, we published a blog announcing the release of our Q4 YouGov Inflation Expectations Survey for early December. We are now in the final stages of collating and analysing the survey results and will publish the full report in the coming days on Twitter (@inflationsurvey) and our bond vigilantes blog. For those of you who are not aware (where have you been?!), the survey was …

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