It’s been another massive year for the global economy. Europe saw LTROs, Greece got a haircut, sovereign downgrades and record high unemployment rates. The peripheral European nations attempted to implement austerity measures with limited success. The US re-elected President Obama and the focus quickly shifted to the upcoming fiscal cliff. In the UK, an Olympics induced bounce in growth was the…
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The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of commodity shipping costs, is often used as an indicator of global demand, and it has a pretty good relationship with government bond markets too as we’ve discussed previously. The index has received much publicity over the past few years since it very accurately flagged the carnage of Q4 2008. One of the index’s attractions is that unlike financial markets, …
The Baltic Dry Index is a measure of the price of shipping dry goods such as coal, iron ore or grain, and is commonly used as an indicator of global demand. The beauty of this index is that unlike financial markets, it’s not subject to speculation. We’ve mentioned the Baltic Dry Index once before on this blog, when Jim highlighted at the beginning of September 2008 that continued new lows in t…
Read the articleA stream of poor economic data and some horrendous writedowns from the big banks have meant that risky assets have been walloped. The iTraxx crossover has shot out from 340 to 470 since the start of the year, and most of the world’s equity markets are down between 10 and 15%.
The recent release that I’d like to focus on is last week’s Philly Fed number (or the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelp…
Read the articleIn response to a recent request and the ever increasing spotlight that the iTraxx indices find themselves under I thought I’d write a quick note to try and shed some light. The indices first came into being in Europe back in June 2004 when it was felt that the bond markets would benefit from the creation of a liquid index reflecting the ever growing credit default swap market (CDS) . The index …
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