Category Archives:

Brexit

Panoramic Weekly: Brexit, May be yes, maybe not

After more than two years of bitter discussions, leadership battles, thousands of hours and millions of pounds spent on a divorce agreement between Britain and the EU, sterling barely blinked when a draft deal was finally struck. Investors held off in an uncertain environment, only to move quickly when further uncertainty unfolded: the pound sold off and gilts rallied after two cabinet minister…

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UK election throws up new uncertainties for markets

The UK has a hung parliament, with Theresa May’s Conservative Party losing seats and likely ending up 8 short of an overall majority.  It looks as if young people voted in large numbers, mainly for Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party.  The Conservatives remain the single largest party however, and together with the Conservative-leaning DUP on 10 seats, they will likely form the new government.  The Pr…

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Beyond hard, soft and no Brexit

(Blog originally posted on www.bruegel.org)

Recent declarations by political leaders suggest that a hard Brexit is the most likely outcome of the negotiation between the European Union and the United Kingdom that will start next spring after the UK government triggers Article 50. In Britain, several cabinet members have made statements pointing in this direction. And in Brussels, Donald Tusk, p…

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Pre-exit, Brexit, what was it? Why the BoE should delay a change in monetary policy.

Post the Brexit referendum we are in an economic purgatory. The brexiteers are looking forward to a democratic led revitalisation of the economy, while the bremainers fear that the “little England” mentality will leave us isolated and depressed. Most people have an opinion, and the economic opinion that matters the most is that of the Bank of England (BoE). The market has absorbed the news of B…

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