After a significant policy error at the end of last year, Argentina has once again found itself in trouble – and back in the headlines – in recent months, suffering from dented credibility and a fast depreciating peso. This morning on BVTV, I look at whether current levels now offer a buying opportunity.
Also this morning: what’s behind EM FX market weakness, and is it actually a US dollar sto…
Watch the videoHaving lagged the broader market somewhat last year, US banks are expected to see revenue gains in 2018 as interest rates continue their rise. By contrast, the picture in Europe is less rosy, and earnings catalysts remain hard to find.
Stephanie Betts, an investment specialist in M&G’s equities team, joined me this morning to discuss prospects for bond and equity investors. Tune in to hear us d…
Read the articleAfter a stellar 2017, eurozone economic data releases have disappointed recently. Stefan Isaacs joined me this morning to discuss the region’s prospects, focusing on the key learnings from the latest ECB meeting, why the US Treasury sell-off has so far failed to have a material impact on European rates, and implications for credit markets.
Watch the videoJim recently updated an old chart from 2007 showing the relationship between a flattening yield curve and credit spread levels. Back then, this classic leading indicator of recessions correctly predicted a big sell-off in corporate bonds. The rest, as they say, is history.
More than 10 years later, Jim joined me this morning on BVTV to discuss if recent US flattening means we really could be he…
Watch the videoOn this week’s BVTV I am joined in the studio by fund manager Dr Wolfgang Bauer and we will be focusing on the recent escalation in geopolitical tensions after the US imposed further tough sanctions against Russia. What does all this mean for bond investors and should we be now thinking about de-risking our portfolios? As ever, the picture is more nuanced than it would first appear. While Russi…
Watch the videoBouts of market volatility have characterised the year so far as investors try to correctly price in news coming from the US. Is investor reaction truly reflecting the fundamental picture? Christophe Machu, investment specialist in the Multi Asset team, takes a look.
Watch the videoThis week on BVTV, I have a look at past US interest rate cycles. With new Fed Chair Jerome Powell now in the hot seat, bond investors are keen to understand whether he will be more hawkish than his predecessor, Janet Yellen. Turning to the UK, the market is now pricing in a high probability that the Monetary Policy Committee hikes interest rates in May, but the flattening of the gilt curve may…
Watch the videoToys “R” Us announced last week that it has so far failed to find a buyer or reach a debt restructuring deal, raising the prospect of widespread store closures and job losses. While a rescue package could yet emerge, the future is looking far from rosy for the toy store. M&G fund manager and deputy head of retail fixed interest Stefan Isaacs joined me this morning to discuss prospects for the f…
Watch the videoPresident Trump has sent shockwaves through the global business community with his decision to impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports to the US. Will this protectionist move prove to be the catalyst for an eventual downturn in global economic growth, and what are the implications for equity and bond markets? Randeep Somel, deputy fund manager in M&G’s equities team, joined me this mornin…
Watch the videoIn this week’s episode, fund manager Charles de Quinsonas joined me to discuss what the recent bout of market volatility meant for the emerging markets. Were all parts of the EM bond universe equally affected, and where do we see most value today?
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